Delivery-risk due diligence for public resources under pressure
Fiscal Hydraulics helps institutions financing, insuring, or delivering crisis, adaptation, and reconstruction programmes identify where public resources are likely to stall between approval and execution.
Where resources stall
The diagnostic examines how resources, authority, and delivery capacity move through the system — from activation to execution — to identify where delivery risk is most likely to concentrate.
- Contingency conditions met
- Financing instruments activated
- Disbursement authority granted
- Approval and release steps
- Treasury, budget, and control points
- On-budget and off-budget pathways
- Line ministry and local execution capacity
- Transfer pathways across levels
- Delivery constraints at the last mile
Strong PFM assessments and well-designed instruments do not guarantee execution. Fiscal Hydraulics examines the route between approval and delivery: where authority, budget release, procurement, transfer, and delivery capacity can slow or stop resource movement.
PEFA and related PFM assessments review institutional readiness and the quality of public financial management systems.
Crisis finance instrument design focuses on triggers, payout speed, and coverage.
Fiscal Hydraulics examines where public resources stall between approval and delivery.
Choose the right level of assessment
A rapid public-source assessment of where delivery risk is likely to sit across a defined public-resource pathway.
An evidence-logged diagnostic for programme design, technical assistance, investment prioritisation, or reform sequencing.
A facilitated session to align stakeholders around the pathway, assumptions, gate owners, and next evidence needs.
